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ȆȜȘț țȦį ĬĮ ȝİIJĮijİȡșİȓIJİ ıIJȘȞ țȪȡȚĮ ȠșȩȞȘ IJȠȣ .,'2¶= .,'2¶= $SSV 6WRUH ȝİ įȦȡİȐȞ İijĮȡȝȠȖȑȢ ȖȚĮ ʌĮȚįȚȐ .,'2¶= %URZVHU ȝİ ıİȜȚįȠįİȓțIJİȢ ʌȡȠȢ IJȠʌȠșİıȓİȢ ijȚȜȚțȑȢ ʌȡȠȢ IJĮ ʌĮȚįȚȐ țĮȚ įȣȞĮIJȩIJȘIJĮ ʌȡȠıșȒțȘȢ IJȠʌȠșİıȚȫȞ Įʌȩ IJȠȞ ȖȠȞȑĮ .,'2¶= 79 ȝİ įȚĮįȚțIJȣĮțȐ IJȘȜİȠʌIJȚțȐ țĮȞȐȜȚĮ ȖȚĮ ʌĮȚįȚȐ .,'2¶= *DPHV ȝȚĮ ıȣȜȜȠȖȒ İȞıȦȝĮIJȦȝȑȞȦȞ ʌĮȚȤȞȚįȚȫȞ ȖȚĮ ʌĮȚįȚȐ %DFNJURXQGV ıĮȢ įȓȞİȚ IJȘ įȣȞĮIJȩIJȘIJĮ ȞĮ ĮȜȜȐȟİIJİ IJȠ ijȩȞIJȠ IJȦȞ ȠșȠȞȫȞ ȝİȞȠȪ IJȠȣ .
ȆȜȘțIJȡȠȜȠȖȒıIJİ IJȠȞ țȦįȚțȩ ʌȡȩıȕĮıȘȢ IJȠȣ ȜȠȖĮȡȚĮıȝȠȪ ıĮȢ ıIJȠ .LGR¶] ıIJȘȞ ȠșȩȞȘ ʌȠȣ ıĮȢ ȗȘIJȐ IJȠȞ țȦįȚțȩ ʌȡȩıȕĮıȘȢ ȘȢ ȆȡȠıĮȡȝȩıIJİ IJȠ ʌİȡȚİȤȩȝİȞȠ ʌȠȣ șĮ İʌȚIJȡȑʌİIJĮȚ Įʌȩ IJȘȞ ȜİȚIJȠȣȡȖȓĮ ȖȠȞȚțȠȪ İȜȑȖȤȠȣ ȣ ȀȐȞIJİ țȜȚț ıIJȠ İȚțȠȞȓįȚȠ ³.,'2¶=´ ıIJȘȞ İʌȐȞȦ įİȟȚȐ ȖȦȞȓĮ IJȘȢ ȠșȩȞȘȢ ȖȚĮ ȞĮ İʌȚıIJȡȑȥİIJİ ıIJȘȞ İʌȚijȐȞİȚĮ İȡȖĮıȓĮȢ IJȠȣ .
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ɇɚɠɦɢɬɟ ɤɧɨɩɤɭ ©&UHDWH $FFRXQWª ©ɋɨɡɞɚɬɶ ɭɱɟɬɧɭɸ ɡɚɩɢɫɶª ɦɨɦ ɵɥ ɡɭɹ Ɂɚɩɨɥɧɢɬɟ ɚɞɪɟɫ ɜɚɲɟɣ ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɧɧɨɣ ɩɨɱɬɵ ɢ ɜɵɛɟɪɢɬɟ ɩɚɪɨɥɶ ɇɚɠɦɢɬɟ ɤɧɨɩɤɭ ©5HJLVWHUª ©Ɋɟɝɢɫɬɪɚɰɢɹª ɞɥɹ ɩɪɨɞɨɥɠɟɧɢɹ ɉɨɞɬɜɟɪɠɞɟɧɢɟ ɪɟɝɢɫɬɪɚɰɢɢ ɫɨ ɫɜɟɞɟɧɢɹɦɢ ɭɱɟɬɧɨɣ ɡɚɩɢɫɢ ɛɭɞɭɬ ɨɬɩɪɚɜɥɟɧɵ ɧɚ ɭɤɚɡɚɧɧɵɣ ɚɞɪɟɫ ɷɥɟɤɬɪɨɧɧɨɣ ɩɨɱɬɵ ɋɨɡɞɚɣɬɟ .
ȼɜɟɞ ɉɨɫɥɟ ɷɬɨɝɨ ɨɬɤɪɨɟɬɫɹ ɝɥɚɜɧɵɣ ɷɤɪɚɧ .,'2¶= Ɇɚɝɚɡɢɧ ɩɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɣ .,'2¶= ɫ ɛɟɫɩɥɚɬɧɵɦɢ ɩɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹɦɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɟɬɟɣ Ȼɪɚɭɡɟɪ .,'2¶= ɫ ɜɟɛ ɫɚɣɬɚɦɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɟɬɟɣ ɨɬɦɟɱɟɧɧɵɦɢ ɡɚɤɥɚɞɤɚɦɢ ɤɨɬɨɪɵɟ ɬɚɤɠɟ ɦɨɝɭɬ ɞɨɛɚɜɥɹɬɶ ɪɨɞɢɬɟɥɢ Ɍɟɥɟɜɢɞɟɧɢɟ .,'2¶= ɫ ɬɟɥɟɜɢɡɢɨɧɧɵɦɢ ɤɚɧɚɥɚɦɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɟɬɟɣ ɜ ɂɧɬɟɪɧɟɬɟ ɂɝɪɵ .,'2¶= ± ɤɨɥɥɟɤɰɢɹ ɜɫɬɪɨɟɧɧɵɯ ɢɝɪ ɞɥɹ ɞɟɬɟɣ Ɏɨɧɨɜɵɟ ɪɢɫɭɧɤɢ ɩɨɡɜɨɥɹɬ ɢɡɦɟɧɢɬɶ ɨɛɨɢ ɷɤɪɚɧɚ ɦɟɧɸ .
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ȼɜɟɞ ɉɿɫɥɹ ɰɶɨɝɨ ɡ¶ɹɜɢɬɶɫɹ ɝɨɥɨɜɧɢɣ ɟɤɪɚɧ .,'2¶= Ɇɚɝɚɡɢɧ ɩɪɨɝɪɚɦ .,'2¶= ɡ ɛɟɡɤɨɲɬɨɜɧɢɦɢ ɡɚɫɬɨɫɭɧɤɚɦɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɿɬɟɣ Ȼɪɚɭɡɟɪ .,'2¶= ɡ ɜɟɛ ɫɚɣɬɚɦɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɿɬɟɣ ɞɨɞɚɧɢɦɢ ɞɨ ɡɚɤɥɚɞɨɤ ɹɤɿ ɬɚɤɨɠ ɦɨɠɭɬɶ ɜɢɡɧɚɱɢɬɢ ɛɚɬɶɤɢ Ɍɟɥɟɛɚɱɟɧɧɹ .,'2¶= ɡ ɬɟɥɟɜɿɡɿɣɧɢɦɢ ɤɚɧɚɥɚɦɢ ɞɥɹ ɞɿɬɟɣ ɜ ȱɧɬɟɪɧɟɬɿ ȱɝɪɢ .,'2¶= ± ɤɨɥɟɤɰɿɹ ɜɛɭɞɨɜɚɧɢɯ ɿɝɨɪ ɞɥɹ ɞɿɬɟɣ Ɏɨɧɨɜɿ ɪɢɫɭɧɤɢ ɧɚɞɚɸɬɶ ɡɦɨɝɭ ɡɦɿɧɢɬɢ ɲɩɚɥɟɪɢ ɟɤɪɚɧɚ ɦɟɧɸ .
ȼɜɟɞɿɬɶ ɩɚɪɨɥɶ ɨɛɥɿɤɨɜɨɝɨ ɡɚɩɢɫɭ .LGR¶] ɧɚ ɟɤɪɚɧɿ ɡɚɩɢɬɭ ɩɚɪɨɥɹ ɶɤɢ ȼɿɞɤɨɪɢɝɭɣɬɟ ɜɦɿɫɬ ɛɚɬɶɤɿɜɫɶɤɨɝɨ ɤɨɧɬɪɨɥɸ ɥɹ ɱɚ Ʉɥɚɰɧɿɬɶ ɡɧɚɱɨɤ .,'2¶= ɭ ɩɪɚɜɨɦɭ ɜɟɪɯɧɶɨɦɭ ɤɭɬɿ ɟɤɪɚɧɚ ɞɥɹ ɩɨɜɟɪɧɟɧɧɹ ɧɚ ɪɨɛɨɱɢɣ ɫɬɿɥ .
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ǀƸƉƸǣǍŽȚ .,'2µ= ǀŵƾŵ ȴȃȚ ǚųNjů ȯǞŴ ȑȲƾƱŶȀŽ ǀƃŴƾƶžȶ ǀƸſƾƆž ȝƾƲƸƃƭů Ǖž ȝƾƲƸƃƭƄŽȚ ǍƆƄž $SSV 6WRUH .,'2µ= ȑǜƁNjŽȚǞŽȚ ǀƭŴȚǞŮ ƾƬƁȖ ƾƷƸŽȘ ȯƾƬƁ ȴȖ ǜƳƚ ǚƱƭƴŽ ǀƃŴƾƶž ǀƸƯűǍž ǕŻȚǞž Ǖž ljƱƫƄƓȚ %URZVHU .,'2µ= ȑȲƾƱŶȀŽ ǀƃŴƾƶƓȚ ǁſǍƄſȁȚ ǟƴŸ ǀƸſǞƁǎƱƴƄŽȚ ȝȚǞƶƲŽȚ Ǖž ȴǞƁǎƱƴƄŽȚ 79 .,'2µ= ȑȲƾƱŶȀŽ ǀƃŴƾƶƓȚ ǀƆžNjƓȚ țƾƯŽLjȚ ǜž ǀŸǞƵƆž ǜŸ ȜȤƾƃŸ Ǡƀ țƾƯŽLjȚ *DPHV .,'2µ= ȑ.,'2µ= ǀƵǣƾŻ ȝƾŵƾŵ ǀƸƱƴų ǍƸƸưů ǜž ǙƶƳƚ ȝƾƸƱƴƒȚ %DFNJURXQGV ǚƱƭŽȚ țƾƉŲ ȝȚȢȚNjŸȘ .
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ɇɚɩ ɋɟɝɚ ɦɨɠɟɬɟ ɞɚ ɜɥɟɡɟɬɟ ɜ ɨɫɧɨɜɧɢɹ ɟɤɪɚɧ ɧɚ .,'2¶= Ɇɚɝɚɡɢɧ ɡɚ ɩɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ .,'2¶= ɫ ɛɟɡɩɥɚɬɧɢ ɩɪɢɥɨɠɟɧɢɹ ɩɨɞɯɨɞɹɳ ɡɚ ɞɟɰɚ Ȼɪɚɭɡɴɪ .,'2¶= ɫ ɩɨɞɯɨɞɹɳɢ ɡɚ ɞɟɰɚ ɩɪɟɞɜɚɪɢɬɟɥɧɨ ɨɬɦɟɬɧɚɬɢ ɭɟɛɫɚɣɬɨɜɟ ɤɚɤɜɢɬɨ ɦɨɝɚɬ ɞɚ ɛɴɞɚɬ ɞɨɛɚɜɹɧɢ ɢ ɨɬ ɪɨɞɢɬɟɥɢ .,'2¶= Ɍɟɥɟɜɢɡɢɹ ɫ ɩɨɞɯɨɞɹɳɢ ɡɚ ɞɟɰɚ ɨɧɥɚɣɧ ɬɟɥɟɜɢɡɢɨɧɧɢ ɤɚɧɚɥɢ .,'2¶= ɂɝɪɢ ɟ ɤɨɥɟɤɰɢɹ ɜɝɪɚɞɟɧɢ ɩɨɞɯɨɞɹɳɢ ɡɚ ɞɟɰɚ ɢɝɪɢ Ɏɨɧɨɜɟ ɞɚɜɚ ɜɴɡɦɨɠɧɨɫɬ ɞɚ ɫɦɟɧɹɬɟ ɮɨɧɨɜɨɬɨ ɢɡɨɛɪɚɠɟɧɢɟ ɧɚ ɟɤɪɚɧɧɢɬɟ ɦɟɧɸɬɚ ɧɚ .
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